Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 23.467084 26.663327 30.156320 34.260386 38.954936 44.162576 50.384783
2025-01-12 17.868240 21.995140 26.895302 33.156957 40.967145 50.415379 62.754630
2025-01-19 14.472276 19.006044 24.763838 32.644070 43.199024 56.918999 76.220974
2025-01-26 12.677281 17.586256 24.186857 33.766272 47.407711 66.276707 94.600391
2025-02-02 11.478761 16.699784 24.077878 35.350250 52.292177 77.051812 116.427461
2025-02-09 10.243724 15.536264 23.348585 35.837076 55.524460 85.738676 136.335542
2025-02-16 8.964550 14.105484 21.992610 35.118719 56.712512 91.338536 152.086820
2025-02-23 7.945157 12.928049 20.847209 34.522823 57.921706 96.995327 168.576545
2025-03-02 7.121975 11.953596 19.887305 34.066821 59.232836 102.883129 186.166515
2025-03-09 6.501906 11.236048 19.252790 34.053944 61.252316 110.163874 207.184571
2025-03-16 5.948487 10.564314 18.609607 33.924435 63.004672 117.119835 228.500506
2025-03-23 5.660593 10.326576 18.693702 35.109231 67.308324 129.298152 261.673262
2025-03-30 5.244952 9.825662 18.274261 35.354052 69.957456 138.876287 291.585701
2025-04-06 4.727874 9.078841 17.317278 34.446370 70.219900 143.783856 312.578202
2025-04-13 4.327430 8.511404 16.638083 34.002609 71.358335 150.616016 338.816740
2025-04-20 4.147584 8.359806 16.757382 35.210562 76.136688 165.816374 386.457461
2025-04-27 4.026330 8.312446 17.078759 36.880901 82.139983 184.532199 445.491036
2025-05-04 3.805585 8.032393 16.883998 37.395876 85.604390 197.958988 493.894445
2025-05-11 3.497421 7.532340 16.166299 36.646983 86.031319 204.316312 525.486945
2025-05-18 3.230328 7.094303 15.537172 36.024721 86.673919 211.270489 559.801049
2025-05-25 2.999852 6.714401 14.997631 35.548213 87.608036 219.069157 597.721516
2025-06-01 2.823057 6.438853 14.666557 35.534880 89.702673 230.113553 646.594770
2025-06-08 2.653111 6.162052 14.303838 35.399503 91.464339 240.532340 695.516549